A field guide to AI positions

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Sources used: First-hand material.

The map position is our interpretation of the public statements below. Read the method.

Position, range and evidence details

Preferred pace: -87; stated catastrophic-risk concern: 87. These are layout units, not percentages or rankings.

Pace range: -100 to -72; concern range: 72 to 100. Ranges show alternative editorial interpretations, not statistical confidence intervals.

Evidence clarity: high. Basis: primary. Implementation: public-advocacy.

Open on the map Reading notes · Structured record

What this position covers

Superintelligence and the frontier leading to it. [1] [2]

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What to keep in mind

This is his advocated position, not this project's prediction. [1] [2]

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What they say about the pace of AI

Argues against proceeding to superintelligence with present methods. [1]

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What they say about catastrophic risk

Frames superhuman AI as an extinction threat. [1]

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Context and qualifications

MIRI separately advocates an enforced international ASI moratorium. [2]

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The wider picture

Argues against building superintelligence with present methods. [1]

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The claim being mapped

The book announcement presents an argument that superhuman AI would threaten humanity. The map records that argument; it does not present the outcome as established. [1]

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https://theaiatlas.org/people/yudkowsky/

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Sources and what we read

  1. 1. Yudkowsky and Soares Announce Major New Book: If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies

    What we read: The affiliated announcement of the authors' argument, not the book itself.

    No archived copy verified · Archive check 2026-09-15

    A publisher/affiliated announcement of the authors' argument, not an empirical finding that extinction is certain.

  2. 2. Our view

    Undated live institutional position checked on the review date. Used as context, not as a substitute for individual authorship.

Edition and machine-readable evidence

Content version 0.19.0. Evidence cutoff 2026-09-15; this does not mean every source was read on that day.

Pinned complete dataset · Complete evidence page · Agent consumption guide